NFL Home favorites of 3 or less: New York Jets: ATS Record Since 1999
Laying a field goal or less at home. 56 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 22-32-2 (40.7%)
Straight up: 25-31 (44.6%)
Over/under: 30-25-1 (54.5% overs)
Average cover margin: -3.37 points
Is it real?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 7 times, so it is consistent with luck. 1999-2012: 13-15 (46.4%); 2013-2026: 9-17 (34.6%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2025 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2024 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2023 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2022 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2021 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2020 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2019 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2018 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2016 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2015 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2014 | 0-3 | 0.0% |
| 2013 | 3-0 | 100.0% |
| 2012 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2011 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2010 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2009 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2008 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2007 | 0-1-1 | 0.0% |
| 2006 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2005 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2003 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2002 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2001 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2000 | 2-1-1 | 66.7% |
| 1999 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL home favorites of 3 or less for the New York Jets?
22-32-2 against the spread (40.7%) in 56 team-games since 1999, 25-31 straight up and 30-25-1 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 7 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
1999-2012: 13-15 (46.4%); 2013-2026: 9-17 (34.6%).