NFL Home favorites of 3 or less: New York Giants: ATS Record Since 1999

Laying a field goal or less at home. 49 team-games since 1999.

Against the spread: 21-25-3 (45.7%)
Straight up: 26-23 (53.1%)
Over/under: 22-26-1 (45.8% overs)
Average cover margin: -1.64 points

Is it real?

Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 3 times, so it is consistent with luck. 1999-2012: 14-15 (48.3%); 2013-2026: 7-10 (41.2%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.

By season

SeasonATSCover %
20261-0100.0%
20250-10.0%
20221-233.3%
20210-10.0%
20200-10.0%
20191-0100.0%
20180-0-1—
20170-20.0%
20161-0100.0%
20152-166.7%
20141-150.0%
20130-10.0%
20121-0100.0%
20112-0-1100.0%
20100-20.0%
20070-10.0%
20060-20.0%
20055-271.4%
20042-0100.0%
20030-40.0%
20022-166.7%
20011-1-150.0%
20000-10.0%
19991-150.0%

Questions

What is the ATS record of NFL home favorites of 3 or less for the New York Giants?

21-25-3 against the spread (45.7%) in 49 team-games since 1999, 26-23 straight up and 22-26-1 on the over/under.

Is this trend likely to be luck?

Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 3 times, so it is consistent with luck.

Did it hold up?

1999-2012: 14-15 (48.3%); 2013-2026: 7-10 (41.2%).

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