NFL Home favorites of 3 or less: Minnesota Vikings: ATS Record Since 1999
Laying a field goal or less at home. 47 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 25-22 (53.2%)
Straight up: 28-19 (59.6%)
Over/under: 24-22-1 (52.2% overs)
Average cover margin: 1.12 points
Is it real?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 2 times, so it is consistent with luck. 2000-2013: 12-11 (52.2%); 2014-2026: 13-11 (54.2%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2025 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2024 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2023 | 0-3 | 0.0% |
| 2022 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2020 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
| 2017 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2016 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2015 | 3-0 | 100.0% |
| 2014 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2013 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2011 | 0-4 | 0.0% |
| 2010 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2009 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2008 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2007 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2006 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2005 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2002 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2001 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2000 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL home favorites of 3 or less for the Minnesota Vikings?
25-22 against the spread (53.2%) in 47 team-games since 1999, 28-19 straight up and 24-22-1 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 2 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
2000-2013: 12-11 (52.2%); 2014-2026: 13-11 (54.2%).