NFL Home favorites of 3 or less: Las Vegas Raiders: ATS Record Since 1999
Laying a field goal or less at home. 45 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 20-25 (44.4%)
Straight up: 22-23 (48.9%)
Over/under: 22-21-2 (51.2% overs)
Average cover margin: -1.16 points
Is it real?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 3 times, so it is consistent with luck. 1999-2012: 6-18 (25.0%); 2015-2026: 14-7 (66.7%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2025 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2024 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2023 | 4-1 | 80.0% |
| 2022 | 3-0 | 100.0% |
| 2021 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2019 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2018 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2017 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2016 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2015 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2012 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2011 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2010 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2009 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2008 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2007 | 0-4 | 0.0% |
| 2006 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2005 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2004 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2002 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2000 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 1999 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL home favorites of 3 or less for the Las Vegas Raiders?
20-25 against the spread (44.4%) in 45 team-games since 1999, 22-23 straight up and 22-21-2 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 3 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
1999-2012: 6-18 (25.0%); 2015-2026: 14-7 (66.7%).