NFL Home favorites of 3 or less: Los Angeles Rams: ATS Record Since 1999
Laying a field goal or less at home. 36 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 14-20-2 (41.2%)
Straight up: 18-18 (50.0%)
Over/under: 15-20-1 (42.9% overs)
Average cover margin: -2.47 points
Is it real?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 4 times, so it is consistent with luck. 1999-2013: 7-10 (41.2%); 2014-2025: 7-10 (41.2%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2024 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2023 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2021 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2020 | 3-0 | 100.0% |
| 2019 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2018 | 0-0-1 | — |
| 2017 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2016 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2015 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2014 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2013 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2012 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2011 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2010 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2007 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2006 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2005 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2004 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2003 | 0-0-1 | — |
| 2002 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 1999 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL home favorites of 3 or less for the Los Angeles Rams?
14-20-2 against the spread (41.2%) in 36 team-games since 1999, 18-18 straight up and 15-20-1 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 4 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
1999-2013: 7-10 (41.2%); 2014-2025: 7-10 (41.2%).