NFL Home favorites of 3 or less: Jacksonville Jaguars: ATS Record Since 1999
Laying a field goal or less at home. 35 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 15-19-1 (44.1%)
Straight up: 17-18 (48.6%)
Over/under: 14-20-1 (41.2% overs)
Average cover margin: -1.53 points
Is it real?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 3 times, so it is consistent with luck. 2000-2010: 9-8 (52.9%); 2011-2026: 6-11 (35.3%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2025 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2024 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2022 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2020 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2019 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2017 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2016 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2015 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2012 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2011 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2010 | 3-0 | 100.0% |
| 2009 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2008 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2007 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2006 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2005 | 1-0-1 | 100.0% |
| 2004 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2003 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2002 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2001 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2000 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL home favorites of 3 or less for the Jacksonville Jaguars?
15-19-1 against the spread (44.1%) in 35 team-games since 1999, 17-18 straight up and 14-20-1 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 3 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
2000-2010: 9-8 (52.9%); 2011-2026: 6-11 (35.3%).