NFL Home favorites of 3 or less: Cleveland Browns: ATS Record Since 1999
Laying a field goal or less at home. 50 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 22-25-3 (46.8%)
Straight up: 26-24 (52.0%)
Over/under: 19-31 (38.0% overs)
Average cover margin: -2.91 points
Is it real?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 2 times, so it is consistent with luck. 2001-2011: 10-13 (43.5%); 2013-2025: 12-12 (50.0%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2024 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2023 | 2-0-1 | 100.0% |
| 2022 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2021 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2020 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2019 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2018 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2015 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2014 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2013 | 0-3 | 0.0% |
| 2011 | 1-2-1 | 33.3% |
| 2010 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2009 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2008 | 0-4 | 0.0% |
| 2007 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2006 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2005 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2004 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2003 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2002 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2001 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL home favorites of 3 or less for the Cleveland Browns?
22-25-3 against the spread (46.8%) in 50 team-games since 1999, 26-24 straight up and 19-31 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 2 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
2001-2011: 10-13 (43.5%); 2013-2025: 12-12 (50.0%).