NFL Home favorites of 3 or less: Cincinnati Bengals: ATS Record Since 1999
Laying a field goal or less at home. 46 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 16-25-5 (39.0%)
Straight up: 21-25 (45.7%)
Over/under: 23-22-1 (51.1% overs)
Average cover margin: -4.84 points
Is it real?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 8 times, so it is consistent with luck. 1999-2012: 8-13 (38.1%); 2014-2026: 8-12 (40.0%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2024 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2023 | 3-0-2 | 100.0% |
| 2021 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2020 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2019 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2018 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2017 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2016 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2015 | 0-1-1 | 0.0% |
| 2014 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2012 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2011 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2010 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2009 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2008 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2007 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2006 | 1-0-1 | 100.0% |
| 2005 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2003 | 0-0-1 | — |
| 2002 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2001 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
| 1999 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL home favorites of 3 or less for the Cincinnati Bengals?
16-25-5 against the spread (39.0%) in 46 team-games since 1999, 21-25 straight up and 23-22-1 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 8 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
1999-2012: 8-13 (38.1%); 2014-2026: 8-12 (40.0%).