NFL Home favorites of 3 or less: Carolina Panthers: ATS Record Since 1999
Laying a field goal or less at home. 47 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 23-22-2 (51.1%)
Straight up: 25-22 (53.2%)
Over/under: 23-22-2 (51.1% overs)
Average cover margin: -0.96 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -2.4%), so there is no edge to explain. 2000-2013: 12-9 (57.1%); 2014-2026: 11-13 (45.8%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2024 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2022 | 0-3 | 0.0% |
| 2021 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2020 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2019 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2018 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2017 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2016 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2015 | 3-0 | 100.0% |
| 2014 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2013 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2012 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2011 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2010 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2008 | 2-0-1 | 100.0% |
| 2007 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2005 | 1-0-1 | 100.0% |
| 2004 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2003 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2002 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2001 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2000 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL home favorites of 3 or less for the Carolina Panthers?
23-22-2 against the spread (51.1%) in 47 team-games since 1999, 25-22 straight up and 23-22-2 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -2.4%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
2000-2013: 12-9 (57.1%); 2014-2026: 11-13 (45.8%).