NFL Home favorites of 3 or less: Baltimore Ravens: ATS Record Since 1999
Laying a field goal or less at home. 47 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 24-20-3 (54.5%)
Straight up: 31-16 (66.0%)
Over/under: 22-25 (46.8% overs)
Average cover margin: 6.2 points
Is it real?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 3 times, so it is consistent with luck. 2000-2012: 12-9 (57.1%); 2013-2025: 12-11 (52.2%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2024 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2023 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2022 | 0-3 | 0.0% |
| 2021 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2018 | 0-3 | 0.0% |
| 2017 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2016 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2015 | 0-1-1 | 0.0% |
| 2014 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2013 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2012 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2011 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2010 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2008 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2007 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2006 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2005 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2003 | 3-0-1 | 100.0% |
| 2002 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2001 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2000 | 0-1-1 | 0.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL home favorites of 3 or less for the Baltimore Ravens?
24-20-3 against the spread (54.5%) in 47 team-games since 1999, 31-16 straight up and 22-25 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 3 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
2000-2012: 12-9 (57.1%); 2013-2025: 12-11 (52.2%).