NFL Home favorites of 3 or less: Arizona Cardinals: ATS Record Since 1999
Laying a field goal or less at home. 38 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 19-19 (50.0%)
Straight up: 22-15-1 (59.5%)
Over/under: 19-19 (50.0% overs)
Average cover margin: -2.51 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -4.5%), so there is no edge to explain. 1999-2011: 12-7 (63.2%); 2012-2024: 7-12 (36.8%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2022 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2021 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2020 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2019 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2018 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2017 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2016 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2015 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2014 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2013 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2012 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2011 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2010 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2009 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2008 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2007 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2006 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2005 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2004 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2002 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2001 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2000 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 1999 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL home favorites of 3 or less for the Arizona Cardinals?
19-19 against the spread (50.0%) in 38 team-games since 1999, 22-15-1 straight up and 19-19 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -4.5%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
1999-2011: 12-7 (63.2%); 2012-2024: 7-12 (36.8%).