NFL Off an upset loss: Washington Commanders: ATS Record Since 1999
Lost last week as a favorite. 66 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 28-37-1 (43.1%)
Straight up: 28-37-1 (43.1%)
Over/under: 29-35-2 (45.3% overs)
Average cover margin: -0.3 points
Is it real?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 4 times, so it is consistent with luck. 1999-2012: 15-23 (39.5%); 2013-2026: 13-14 (48.1%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2025 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2024 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2023 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2022 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
| 2021 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2020 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2019 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2018 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2017 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2016 | 3-0 | 100.0% |
| 2015 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2014 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2013 | 0-3 | 0.0% |
| 2012 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2011 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2010 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2009 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2008 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2007 | 3-0 | 100.0% |
| 2006 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2005 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2004 | 1-4 | 20.0% |
| 2003 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2002 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2001 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2000 | 3-5 | 37.5% |
| 1999 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL off an upset loss for the Washington Commanders?
28-37-1 against the spread (43.1%) in 66 team-games since 1999, 28-37-1 straight up and 29-35-2 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 4 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
1999-2012: 15-23 (39.5%); 2013-2026: 13-14 (48.1%).