NFL Off an upset loss: Tennessee Titans: ATS Record Since 1999
Lost last week as a favorite. 66 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 28-35-3 (44.4%)
Straight up: 29-37 (43.9%)
Over/under: 35-31 (53.0% overs)
Average cover margin: -1.02 points
Is it real?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 3 times, so it is consistent with luck. 1999-2012: 15-20 (42.9%); 2013-2026: 13-15 (46.4%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2024 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
| 2023 | 0-1-1 | 0.0% |
| 2022 | 0-1-2 | 0.0% |
| 2021 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2020 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2019 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
| 2018 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2017 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2016 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2015 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2014 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2013 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2012 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2011 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2010 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2009 | 0-3 | 0.0% |
| 2008 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2007 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2006 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2004 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2003 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2002 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2001 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2000 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 1999 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL off an upset loss for the Tennessee Titans?
28-35-3 against the spread (44.4%) in 66 team-games since 1999, 29-37 straight up and 35-31 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 3 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
1999-2012: 15-20 (42.9%); 2013-2026: 13-15 (46.4%).