NFL Off an upset loss: Pittsburgh Steelers: ATS Record Since 1999
Lost last week as a favorite. 93 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 48-44-1 (52.2%)
Straight up: 51-42 (54.8%)
Over/under: 47-46 (50.5% overs)
Average cover margin: 0.59 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -0.4%), so there is no edge to explain. 1999-2013: 28-27 (50.9%); 2014-2026: 20-17 (54.1%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2025 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2024 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2023 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2022 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2021 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2020 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2019 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2018 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| 2017 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2016 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2015 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2014 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2013 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2012 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| 2011 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2010 | 3-0 | 100.0% |
| 2009 | 2-4 | 33.3% |
| 2008 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2007 | 4-1 | 80.0% |
| 2006 | 2-4 | 33.3% |
| 2005 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2003 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2002 | 1-4 | 20.0% |
| 2001 | 1-0-1 | 100.0% |
| 2000 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 1999 | 0-4 | 0.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL off an upset loss for the Pittsburgh Steelers?
48-44-1 against the spread (52.2%) in 93 team-games since 1999, 51-42 straight up and 47-46 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -0.4%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
1999-2013: 28-27 (50.9%); 2014-2026: 20-17 (54.1%).