NFL Off an upset loss: New York Jets: ATS Record Since 1999
Lost last week as a favorite. 67 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 24-43 (35.8%)
Straight up: 26-41 (38.8%)
Over/under: 33-33-1 (50.0% overs)
Average cover margin: -1.28 points
Is it real?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 42 times. 1999-2012: 14-23 (37.8%); 2013-2026: 10-20 (33.3%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
This week’s games that fit
- 2026-11-08: NYJ at KC
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2025 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2024 | 2-4 | 33.3% |
| 2023 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2022 | 0-3 | 0.0% |
| 2020 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2019 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2018 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2017 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2016 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2015 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2014 | 0-3 | 0.0% |
| 2013 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2012 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2011 | 0-4 | 0.0% |
| 2010 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2009 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2008 | 0-5 | 0.0% |
| 2007 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2006 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2005 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2004 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2003 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2002 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2001 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2000 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 1999 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL off an upset loss for the New York Jets?
24-43 against the spread (35.8%) in 67 team-games since 1999, 26-41 straight up and 33-33-1 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 42 times.
Did it hold up?
1999-2012: 14-23 (37.8%); 2013-2026: 10-20 (33.3%).