NFL Off an upset loss: New Orleans Saints: ATS Record Since 1999
Lost last week as a favorite. 81 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 40-39-2 (50.6%)
Straight up: 38-43 (46.9%)
Over/under: 42-38-1 (52.5% overs)
Average cover margin: 1.04 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -3.3%), so there is no edge to explain. 1999-2012: 18-19 (48.6%); 2013-2026: 22-20 (52.4%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2025 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2024 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2023 | 2-4 | 33.3% |
| 2022 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2021 | 3-0 | 100.0% |
| 2020 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2019 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2018 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2017 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2016 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2015 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2014 | 3-5 | 37.5% |
| 2013 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2012 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2011 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2010 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2009 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2008 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2007 | 2-4 | 33.3% |
| 2006 | 3-0 | 100.0% |
| 2005 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2004 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2003 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2002 | 2-2-1 | 50.0% |
| 2001 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2000 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 1999 | 0-2-1 | 0.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL off an upset loss for the New Orleans Saints?
40-39-2 against the spread (50.6%) in 81 team-games since 1999, 38-43 straight up and 42-38-1 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -3.3%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
1999-2012: 18-19 (48.6%); 2013-2026: 22-20 (52.4%).