NFL Off an upset loss: Las Vegas Raiders: ATS Record Since 1999

Lost last week as a favorite. 61 team-games since 1999.

Against the spread: 26-33-2 (44.1%)
Straight up: 25-36 (41.0%)
Over/under: 28-31-2 (47.5% overs)
Average cover margin: -1.33 points

Is it real?

Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 3 times, so it is consistent with luck. 1999-2011: 15-16 (48.4%); 2012-2025: 11-17 (39.3%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.

By season

SeasonATSCover %
20250-20.0%
20241-0100.0%
20230-1-10.0%
20223-350.0%
20211-233.3%
20201-150.0%
20191-150.0%
20180-10.0%
20171-233.3%
20161-0100.0%
20151-233.3%
20121-233.3%
20111-150.0%
20101-0100.0%
20091-0100.0%
20080-10.0%
20072-166.7%
20060-20.0%
20050-30.0%
20040-20.0%
20030-1-10.0%
20021-325.0%
20012-250.0%
20003-0100.0%
19994-0100.0%

Questions

What is the ATS record of NFL off an upset loss for the Las Vegas Raiders?

26-33-2 against the spread (44.1%) in 61 team-games since 1999, 25-36 straight up and 28-31-2 on the over/under.

Is this trend likely to be luck?

Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 3 times, so it is consistent with luck.

Did it hold up?

1999-2011: 15-16 (48.4%); 2012-2025: 11-17 (39.3%).

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