NFL Off an upset loss: Jacksonville Jaguars: ATS Record Since 1999
Lost last week as a favorite. 67 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 32-33-2 (49.2%)
Straight up: 32-35 (47.8%)
Over/under: 33-33-1 (50.0% overs)
Average cover margin: 1.75 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -3.1%), so there is no edge to explain. 1999-2012: 18-19 (48.6%); 2015-2026: 14-14 (50.0%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2025 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2024 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2023 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2022 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2021 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2020 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2019 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2018 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2017 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2016 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2015 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2012 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2010 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2009 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2008 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| 2007 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2006 | 4-2 | 66.7% |
| 2005 | 0-1-1 | 0.0% |
| 2004 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2003 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2002 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2001 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
| 2000 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 1999 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL off an upset loss for the Jacksonville Jaguars?
32-33-2 against the spread (49.2%) in 67 team-games since 1999, 32-35 straight up and 33-33-1 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -3.1%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
1999-2012: 18-19 (48.6%); 2015-2026: 14-14 (50.0%).