NFL Off an upset loss: Indianapolis Colts: ATS Record Since 1999
Lost last week as a favorite. 69 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 35-33-1 (51.5%)
Straight up: 44-25 (63.8%)
Over/under: 39-29-1 (57.4% overs)
Average cover margin: 0.36 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -1.7%), so there is no edge to explain. 1999-2011: 13-22 (37.1%); 2012-2026: 22-11 (66.7%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2025 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2024 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2022 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2021 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2020 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2019 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2018 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2016 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2015 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2014 | 3-0 | 100.0% |
| 2013 | 3-0 | 100.0% |
| 2012 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2011 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2010 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2009 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2008 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2007 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2006 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2005 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2004 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2003 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2002 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2001 | 1-5 | 16.7% |
| 2000 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 1999 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL off an upset loss for the Indianapolis Colts?
35-33-1 against the spread (51.5%) in 69 team-games since 1999, 44-25 straight up and 39-29-1 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -1.7%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
1999-2011: 13-22 (37.1%); 2012-2026: 22-11 (66.7%).