NFL Off an upset loss: Houston Texans: ATS Record Since 1999
Lost last week as a favorite. 49 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 24-23-2 (51.1%)
Straight up: 24-25 (49.0%)
Over/under: 24-25 (49.0% overs)
Average cover margin: -0.67 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -2.5%), so there is no edge to explain. 2002-2013: 12-13 (48.0%); 2014-2026: 12-10 (54.5%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
This week’s games that fit
- 2026-11-08: HOU at LAC
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2025 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2024 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2023 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2021 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2020 | 3-0 | 100.0% |
| 2019 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2018 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2017 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2015 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2014 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2013 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2012 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2011 | 0-2-1 | 0.0% |
| 2010 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2009 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2008 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2007 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2006 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2005 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2004 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2002 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL off an upset loss for the Houston Texans?
24-23-2 against the spread (51.1%) in 49 team-games since 1999, 24-25 straight up and 24-25 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -2.5%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
2002-2013: 12-13 (48.0%); 2014-2026: 12-10 (54.5%).