NFL Off an upset loss: Detroit Lions: ATS Record Since 1999
Lost last week as a favorite. 60 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 28-31-1 (47.5%)
Straight up: 25-35 (41.7%)
Over/under: 33-27 (55.0% overs)
Average cover margin: -0.47 points
Is it real?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 2 times, so it is consistent with luck. 1999-2013: 11-22 (33.3%); 2014-2026: 17-9 (65.4%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2025 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2024 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2023 | 3-0 | 100.0% |
| 2022 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2020 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2019 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2018 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2017 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2016 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2015 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2014 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2013 | 2-4 | 33.3% |
| 2012 | 1-4 | 20.0% |
| 2011 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2009 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2008 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2006 | 0-3 | 0.0% |
| 2005 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2004 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2003 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2002 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2001 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2000 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 1999 | 1-2-1 | 33.3% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL off an upset loss for the Detroit Lions?
28-31-1 against the spread (47.5%) in 60 team-games since 1999, 25-35 straight up and 33-27 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 2 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
1999-2013: 11-22 (33.3%); 2014-2026: 17-9 (65.4%).