NFL Off an upset loss: Dallas Cowboys: ATS Record Since 1999
Lost last week as a favorite. 90 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 46-42-2 (52.3%)
Straight up: 51-38-1 (57.3%)
Over/under: 50-38-2 (56.8% overs)
Average cover margin: 1.13 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -0.2%), so there is no edge to explain. 1999-2013: 22-26 (45.8%); 2014-2026: 24-16 (60.0%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
This week’s games that fit
- 2026-11-08: DAL at IND
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2025 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2024 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2023 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2022 | 3-0 | 100.0% |
| 2021 | 3-0 | 100.0% |
| 2020 | 0-4 | 0.0% |
| 2019 | 4-3 | 57.1% |
| 2018 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2017 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2016 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2015 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2014 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2013 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2012 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
| 2011 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2010 | 1-5 | 16.7% |
| 2009 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2008 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
| 2007 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2006 | 5-1-1 | 83.3% |
| 2005 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2004 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2003 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2002 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2000 | 2-0-1 | 100.0% |
| 1999 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL off an upset loss for the Dallas Cowboys?
46-42-2 against the spread (52.3%) in 90 team-games since 1999, 51-38-1 straight up and 50-38-2 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -0.2%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
1999-2013: 22-26 (45.8%); 2014-2026: 24-16 (60.0%).