NFL Off an upset loss: Cleveland Browns: ATS Record Since 1999
Lost last week as a favorite. 52 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 25-25-2 (50.0%)
Straight up: 22-30 (42.3%)
Over/under: 20-31-1 (39.2% overs)
Average cover margin: -0.47 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -4.5%), so there is no edge to explain. 2001-2013: 9-15 (37.5%); 2014-2025: 16-10 (61.5%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2024 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2023 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2022 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2021 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2020 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2019 | 2-2-1 | 50.0% |
| 2018 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2015 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2014 | 3-0 | 100.0% |
| 2013 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
| 2012 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2011 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2010 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2008 | 1-2-1 | 33.3% |
| 2007 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2006 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2005 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2003 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2002 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2001 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL off an upset loss for the Cleveland Browns?
25-25-2 against the spread (50.0%) in 52 team-games since 1999, 22-30 straight up and 20-31-1 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -4.5%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
2001-2013: 9-15 (37.5%); 2014-2025: 16-10 (61.5%).