NFL Off an upset loss: Cincinnati Bengals: ATS Record Since 1999
Lost last week as a favorite. 70 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 33-31-6 (51.6%)
Straight up: 30-39-1 (43.5%)
Over/under: 29-40-1 (42.0% overs)
Average cover margin: 0.76 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -1.6%), so there is no edge to explain. 1999-2012: 14-13 (51.9%); 2013-2026: 19-18 (51.4%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 0-1-1 | 0.0% |
| 2025 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2024 | 4-0 | 100.0% |
| 2023 | 1-3-1 | 25.0% |
| 2022 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2021 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2019 | 3-0 | 100.0% |
| 2018 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2017 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2016 | 1-4 | 20.0% |
| 2015 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2014 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2013 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2012 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2011 | 1-0-1 | 100.0% |
| 2010 | 0-3 | 0.0% |
| 2009 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2008 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2007 | 5-0 | 100.0% |
| 2006 | 0-2-1 | 0.0% |
| 2005 | 0-1-1 | 0.0% |
| 2003 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2002 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2001 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2000 | 0-0-1 | — |
| 1999 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL off an upset loss for the Cincinnati Bengals?
33-31-6 against the spread (51.6%) in 70 team-games since 1999, 30-39-1 straight up and 29-40-1 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -1.6%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
1999-2012: 14-13 (51.9%); 2013-2026: 19-18 (51.4%).