NFL Off an upset loss: Chicago Bears: ATS Record Since 1999
Lost last week as a favorite. 50 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 21-25-4 (45.7%)
Straight up: 21-29 (42.0%)
Over/under: 22-27-1 (44.9% overs)
Average cover margin: 1.04 points
Is it real?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 3 times, so it is consistent with luck. 1999-2013: 12-14 (46.2%); 2014-2026: 9-11 (45.0%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2025 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2024 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2023 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2022 | 0-0-1 | — |
| 2020 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2019 | 0-4 | 0.0% |
| 2018 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2017 | 1-0-1 | 100.0% |
| 2016 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2015 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2014 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2013 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2012 | 0-3 | 0.0% |
| 2011 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2010 | 0-1-1 | 0.0% |
| 2009 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2008 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2007 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2006 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2004 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2002 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2000 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 1999 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL off an upset loss for the Chicago Bears?
21-25-4 against the spread (45.7%) in 50 team-games since 1999, 21-29 straight up and 22-27-1 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 3 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
1999-2013: 12-14 (46.2%); 2014-2026: 9-11 (45.0%).