NFL Off an upset loss: Carolina Panthers: ATS Record Since 1999
Lost last week as a favorite. 75 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 42-31-2 (57.5%)
Straight up: 36-39 (48.0%)
Over/under: 41-33-1 (55.4% overs)
Average cover margin: 2.18 points
Is it real?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 5 times, so it is consistent with luck. 1999-2012: 21-14 (60.0%); 2013-2026: 21-17 (55.3%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2025 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2024 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2022 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2021 | 1-4 | 20.0% |
| 2020 | 3-0 | 100.0% |
| 2019 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2018 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2017 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2016 | 2-4 | 33.3% |
| 2015 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2014 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2013 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2012 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2011 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2010 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2009 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2007 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2006 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
| 2005 | 3-0-2 | 100.0% |
| 2004 | 4-0 | 100.0% |
| 2003 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2002 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2001 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2000 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 1999 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL off an upset loss for the Carolina Panthers?
42-31-2 against the spread (57.5%) in 75 team-games since 1999, 36-39 straight up and 41-33-1 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 5 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
1999-2012: 21-14 (60.0%); 2013-2026: 21-17 (55.3%).