NFL Off an upset loss: Baltimore Ravens: ATS Record Since 1999

Lost last week as a favorite. 76 team-games since 1999.

Against the spread: 38-32-6 (54.3%)
Straight up: 51-25 (67.1%)
Over/under: 45-31 (59.2% overs)
Average cover margin: 2.03 points

Is it real?

A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 3 times, so it is consistent with luck. 2000-2013: 19-10 (65.5%); 2014-2026: 19-22 (46.3%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.

By season

SeasonATSCover %
20260-1-10.0%
20253-350.0%
20244-0100.0%
20233-0100.0%
20221-2-133.3%
20212-250.0%
20202-250.0%
20190-10.0%
20181-325.0%
20170-20.0%
20160-20.0%
20151-2-233.3%
20142-250.0%
20132-0100.0%
20120-10.0%
20111-2-133.3%
20101-150.0%
20092-0100.0%
20081-0100.0%
20070-40.0%
20061-0100.0%
20051-0100.0%
20043-0100.0%
20032-0100.0%
20021-0100.0%
20012-1-166.7%
20002-166.7%

Questions

What is the ATS record of NFL off an upset loss for the Baltimore Ravens?

38-32-6 against the spread (54.3%) in 76 team-games since 1999, 51-25 straight up and 45-31 on the over/under.

Is this trend likely to be luck?

A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 3 times, so it is consistent with luck.

Did it hold up?

2000-2013: 19-10 (65.5%); 2014-2026: 19-22 (46.3%).

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