NFL Off a 14+ point win: Tampa Bay Buccaneers: ATS Record Since 1999
The letdown spot. 83 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 38-43-2 (46.9%)
Straight up: 48-35 (57.8%)
Over/under: 39-44 (47.0% overs)
Average cover margin: 1.33 points
Is it real?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 2 times, so it is consistent with luck. 1999-2013: 25-20 (55.6%); 2014-2026: 13-23 (36.1%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
This week’s games that fit
- 2026-11-08: TB at CHI
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2025 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2024 | 2-5 | 28.6% |
| 2023 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2022 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2021 | 2-5 | 28.6% |
| 2020 | 3-4 | 42.9% |
| 2019 | 0-1-2 | 0.0% |
| 2018 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2017 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2016 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2015 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2014 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2013 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2012 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2010 | 3-0 | 100.0% |
| 2009 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2008 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2007 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2006 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2005 | 0-3 | 0.0% |
| 2004 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2003 | 0-4 | 0.0% |
| 2002 | 7-3 | 70.0% |
| 2001 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2000 | 4-1 | 80.0% |
| 1999 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL off a 14+ point win for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers?
38-43-2 against the spread (46.9%) in 83 team-games since 1999, 48-35 straight up and 39-44 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 2 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
1999-2013: 25-20 (55.6%); 2014-2026: 13-23 (36.1%).