NFL Off a 14+ point win: San Francisco 49ers: ATS Record Since 1999
The letdown spot. 87 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 40-44-3 (47.6%)
Straight up: 48-38-1 (55.8%)
Over/under: 48-38-1 (55.8% overs)
Average cover margin: -0.08 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns 0.0%), so there is no edge to explain. 1999-2013: 19-21 (47.5%); 2014-2026: 21-23 (47.7%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2025 | 3-0 | 100.0% |
| 2024 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2023 | 3-6 | 33.3% |
| 2022 | 6-4 | 60.0% |
| 2021 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2020 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2019 | 4-3 | 57.1% |
| 2018 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2016 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2015 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2014 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2013 | 4-2 | 66.7% |
| 2012 | 5-2 | 71.4% |
| 2011 | 2-2-1 | 50.0% |
| 2010 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2009 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
| 2008 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2006 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2003 | 1-2-2 | 33.3% |
| 2002 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2001 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2000 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 1999 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL off a 14+ point win for the San Francisco 49ers?
40-44-3 against the spread (47.6%) in 87 team-games since 1999, 48-38-1 straight up and 48-38-1 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns 0.0%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
1999-2013: 19-21 (47.5%); 2014-2026: 21-23 (47.7%).