NFL Off a 14+ point win: Pittsburgh Steelers: ATS Record Since 1999
The letdown spot. 92 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 49-40-3 (55.1%)
Straight up: 62-30 (67.4%)
Over/under: 41-49-2 (45.6% overs)
Average cover margin: 1.53 points
Is it real?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 3 times, so it is consistent with luck. 1999-2011: 29-29 (50.0%); 2012-2025: 20-11 (64.5%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0-1-1 | 0.0% |
| 2024 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2023 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2020 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2019 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2018 | 2-0-1 | 100.0% |
| 2017 | 1-4 | 20.0% |
| 2016 | 5-1 | 83.3% |
| 2015 | 2-1-1 | 66.7% |
| 2014 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2013 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2012 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2011 | 0-4 | 0.0% |
| 2010 | 2-4 | 33.3% |
| 2009 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2008 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| 2007 | 2-5 | 28.6% |
| 2006 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2005 | 5-3 | 62.5% |
| 2004 | 3-0 | 100.0% |
| 2003 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2002 | 3-0 | 100.0% |
| 2001 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2000 | 5-0 | 100.0% |
| 1999 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL off a 14+ point win for the Pittsburgh Steelers?
49-40-3 against the spread (55.1%) in 92 team-games since 1999, 62-30 straight up and 41-49-2 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 3 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
1999-2011: 29-29 (50.0%); 2012-2025: 20-11 (64.5%).