NFL Off a 14+ point win: New Orleans Saints: ATS Record Since 1999
The letdown spot. 94 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 51-43 (54.3%)
Straight up: 55-39 (58.5%)
Over/under: 46-47-1 (49.5% overs)
Average cover margin: 1.44 points
Is it real?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 3 times, so it is consistent with luck. 1999-2012: 28-23 (54.9%); 2013-2025: 23-20 (53.5%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2024 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2023 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2022 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2021 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2020 | 6-0 | 100.0% |
| 2019 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
| 2018 | 4-2 | 66.7% |
| 2017 | 4-1 | 80.0% |
| 2016 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2014 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2013 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| 2012 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2011 | 6-2 | 75.0% |
| 2010 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
| 2009 | 6-2 | 75.0% |
| 2008 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
| 2007 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2006 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| 2004 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2003 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2002 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2001 | 0-3 | 0.0% |
| 2000 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 1999 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL off a 14+ point win for the New Orleans Saints?
51-43 against the spread (54.3%) in 94 team-games since 1999, 55-39 straight up and 46-47-1 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 3 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
1999-2012: 28-23 (54.9%); 2013-2025: 23-20 (53.5%).