NFL Off a 14+ point win: Minnesota Vikings: ATS Record Since 1999
The letdown spot. 75 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 33-40-2 (45.2%)
Straight up: 37-38 (49.3%)
Over/under: 30-45 (40.0% overs)
Average cover margin: -2.4 points
Is it real?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 3 times, so it is consistent with luck. 1999-2012: 14-25 (35.9%); 2013-2026: 19-15 (55.9%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2025 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2024 | 4-0 | 100.0% |
| 2023 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2022 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2020 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2019 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2018 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
| 2017 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2016 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2015 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2014 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2013 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2012 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2011 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2010 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2009 | 5-4 | 55.6% |
| 2008 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2007 | 2-2-1 | 50.0% |
| 2006 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2005 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2004 | 0-3 | 0.0% |
| 2003 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2002 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2001 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2000 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 1999 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL off a 14+ point win for the Minnesota Vikings?
33-40-2 against the spread (45.2%) in 75 team-games since 1999, 37-38 straight up and 30-45 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 3 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
1999-2012: 14-25 (35.9%); 2013-2026: 19-15 (55.9%).