NFL Off a 14+ point win: Miami Dolphins: ATS Record Since 1999
The letdown spot. 66 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 29-37 (43.9%)
Straight up: 30-36 (45.5%)
Over/under: 23-42-1 (35.4% overs)
Average cover margin: -2.49 points
Is it real?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 4 times, so it is consistent with luck. 1999-2011: 12-20 (37.5%); 2012-2025: 17-17 (50.0%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2024 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2023 | 3-4 | 42.9% |
| 2022 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2021 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2020 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2017 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2016 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2015 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2014 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2013 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2012 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
| 2011 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2010 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2009 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2008 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2006 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2005 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2004 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2003 | 0-4 | 0.0% |
| 2002 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2001 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
| 2000 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 1999 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL off a 14+ point win for the Miami Dolphins?
29-37 against the spread (43.9%) in 66 team-games since 1999, 30-36 straight up and 23-42-1 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 4 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
1999-2011: 12-20 (37.5%); 2012-2025: 17-17 (50.0%).