NFL Off a 14+ point win: Los Angeles Chargers: ATS Record Since 1999
The letdown spot. 84 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 42-41-1 (50.6%)
Straight up: 48-36 (57.1%)
Over/under: 43-39-2 (52.4% overs)
Average cover margin: 0.35 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -3.4%), so there is no edge to explain. 1999-2012: 25-22 (53.2%); 2013-2025: 17-19 (47.2%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
| 2024 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2023 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2022 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2021 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2019 | 0-3 | 0.0% |
| 2018 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2017 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
| 2016 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2015 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2014 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2013 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2012 | 0-3 | 0.0% |
| 2011 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2010 | 2-4 | 33.3% |
| 2009 | 1-2-1 | 33.3% |
| 2008 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2007 | 6-1 | 85.7% |
| 2006 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2005 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2004 | 4-0 | 100.0% |
| 2003 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2002 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2001 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 1999 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL off a 14+ point win for the Los Angeles Chargers?
42-41-1 against the spread (50.6%) in 84 team-games since 1999, 48-36 straight up and 43-39-2 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -3.4%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
1999-2012: 25-22 (53.2%); 2013-2025: 17-19 (47.2%).