NFL Off a 14+ point win: Kansas City Chiefs: ATS Record Since 1999
The letdown spot. 95 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 43-50-2 (46.2%)
Straight up: 64-31 (67.4%)
Over/under: 43-49-3 (46.7% overs)
Average cover margin: -0.53 points
Is it real?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 3 times, so it is consistent with luck. 1999-2013: 17-19 (47.2%); 2014-2026: 26-31 (45.6%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 0-3 | 0.0% |
| 2025 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2024 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2023 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
| 2022 | 0-5 | 0.0% |
| 2021 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2020 | 2-4 | 33.3% |
| 2019 | 5-1-1 | 83.3% |
| 2018 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2017 | 4-0 | 100.0% |
| 2016 | 1-2-1 | 33.3% |
| 2015 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| 2014 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2013 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2011 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2010 | 2-4 | 33.3% |
| 2008 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2007 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2006 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2005 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2004 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2003 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| 2002 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2001 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2000 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 1999 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL off a 14+ point win for the Kansas City Chiefs?
43-50-2 against the spread (46.2%) in 95 team-games since 1999, 64-31 straight up and 43-49-3 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 3 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
1999-2013: 17-19 (47.2%); 2014-2026: 26-31 (45.6%).