NFL Off a 14+ point win: Jacksonville Jaguars: ATS Record Since 1999
The letdown spot. 69 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 30-37-2 (44.8%)
Straight up: 35-34 (50.7%)
Over/under: 39-30 (56.5% overs)
Average cover margin: -0.49 points
Is it real?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 3 times, so it is consistent with luck. 1999-2010: 14-20 (41.2%); 2011-2026: 16-17 (48.5%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
This week’s games that fit
- 2026-11-05: JAX at BAL
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2025 | 5-2 | 71.4% |
| 2024 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2023 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2022 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2019 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2018 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2017 | 2-5 | 28.6% |
| 2016 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2015 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2014 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2011 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2010 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2009 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2008 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2007 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2006 | 1-4 | 20.0% |
| 2005 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2004 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2003 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2002 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2001 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2000 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% |
| 1999 | 4-4-1 | 50.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL off a 14+ point win for the Jacksonville Jaguars?
30-37-2 against the spread (44.8%) in 69 team-games since 1999, 35-34 straight up and 39-30 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 3 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
1999-2010: 14-20 (41.2%); 2011-2026: 16-17 (48.5%).