NFL Off a 14+ point win: Indianapolis Colts: ATS Record Since 1999
The letdown spot. 101 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 57-42-2 (57.6%)
Straight up: 70-31 (69.3%)
Over/under: 50-50-1 (50.0% overs)
Average cover margin: 1.36 points
Is it real?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 7 times, so it is consistent with luck. 1999-2010: 34-23 (59.6%); 2011-2026: 23-19 (54.8%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2025 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2023 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2021 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2020 | 4-2 | 66.7% |
| 2019 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2018 | 2-3-1 | 40.0% |
| 2016 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2014 | 5-3 | 62.5% |
| 2013 | 5-0 | 100.0% |
| 2012 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2011 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2010 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2009 | 4-1 | 80.0% |
| 2008 | 0-3 | 0.0% |
| 2007 | 4-4 | 50.0% |
| 2006 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2005 | 7-2 | 77.8% |
| 2004 | 5-3 | 62.5% |
| 2003 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2002 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2001 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
| 2000 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 1999 | 2-0-1 | 100.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL off a 14+ point win for the Indianapolis Colts?
57-42-2 against the spread (57.6%) in 101 team-games since 1999, 70-31 straight up and 50-50-1 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 7 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
1999-2010: 34-23 (59.6%); 2011-2026: 23-19 (54.8%).