NFL Off a 14+ point win: Detroit Lions: ATS Record Since 1999
The letdown spot. 53 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 23-27-3 (46.0%)
Straight up: 25-28 (47.2%)
Over/under: 30-22-1 (57.7% overs)
Average cover margin: -2.29 points
Is it real?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 2 times, so it is consistent with luck. 1999-2014: 6-17 (26.1%); 2015-2026: 17-10 (63.0%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2025 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2024 | 4-2 | 66.7% |
| 2023 | 4-1 | 80.0% |
| 2022 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2021 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2020 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2018 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2017 | 0-1-1 | 0.0% |
| 2016 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2015 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2014 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
| 2013 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2012 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2011 | 0-3-1 | 0.0% |
| 2010 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2007 | 0-1-1 | 0.0% |
| 2006 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2005 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2004 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2003 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2000 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 1999 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL off a 14+ point win for the Detroit Lions?
23-27-3 against the spread (46.0%) in 53 team-games since 1999, 25-28 straight up and 30-22-1 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 2 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
1999-2014: 6-17 (26.1%); 2015-2026: 17-10 (63.0%).