NFL Off a 14+ point win: Denver Broncos: ATS Record Since 1999
The letdown spot. 94 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 43-49-2 (46.7%)
Straight up: 50-44 (53.2%)
Over/under: 48-43-3 (52.7% overs)
Average cover margin: -1.3 points
Is it real?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 2 times, so it is consistent with luck. 1999-2011: 20-22 (47.6%); 2012-2026: 23-27 (46.0%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2025 | 3-0 | 100.0% |
| 2024 | 3-4 | 42.9% |
| 2023 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2021 | 1-4 | 20.0% |
| 2019 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2018 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2017 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2016 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2015 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2014 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| 2013 | 4-4-1 | 50.0% |
| 2012 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| 2011 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2010 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2009 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2008 | 0-1-1 | 0.0% |
| 2007 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2006 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2005 | 6-1 | 85.7% |
| 2004 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2003 | 3-4 | 42.9% |
| 2002 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2001 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2000 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 1999 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL off a 14+ point win for the Denver Broncos?
43-49-2 against the spread (46.7%) in 94 team-games since 1999, 50-44 straight up and 48-43-3 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 2 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
1999-2011: 20-22 (47.6%); 2012-2026: 23-27 (46.0%).