NFL Off a 14+ point win: Dallas Cowboys: ATS Record Since 1999
The letdown spot. 97 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 42-52-3 (44.7%)
Straight up: 51-46 (52.6%)
Over/under: 52-42-3 (55.3% overs)
Average cover margin: -1.05 points
Is it real?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 4 times, so it is consistent with luck. 1999-2012: 18-23 (43.9%); 2013-2026: 24-29 (45.3%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 0-1-1 | 0.0% |
| 2025 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2024 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2023 | 3-6 | 33.3% |
| 2022 | 2-5 | 28.6% |
| 2021 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| 2020 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2019 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2018 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2017 | 3-1-1 | 75.0% |
| 2016 | 4-1 | 80.0% |
| 2014 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2013 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2012 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2011 | 0-3 | 0.0% |
| 2010 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2009 | 4-3 | 57.1% |
| 2008 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2007 | 4-1 | 80.0% |
| 2006 | 2-3-1 | 40.0% |
| 2005 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2004 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2003 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2001 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2000 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 1999 | 1-4 | 20.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL off a 14+ point win for the Dallas Cowboys?
42-52-3 against the spread (44.7%) in 97 team-games since 1999, 51-46 straight up and 52-42-3 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 4 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
1999-2012: 18-23 (43.9%); 2013-2026: 24-29 (45.3%).