NFL Off a 14+ point win: Chicago Bears: ATS Record Since 1999
The letdown spot. 64 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 27-34-3 (44.3%)
Straight up: 30-34 (46.9%)
Over/under: 32-31-1 (50.8% overs)
Average cover margin: -0.59 points
Is it real?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 3 times, so it is consistent with luck. 1999-2014: 16-22 (42.1%); 2015-2026: 11-12 (47.8%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2025 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2024 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2023 | 0-3-1 | 0.0% |
| 2022 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2021 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2020 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2019 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2018 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2017 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2016 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2015 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2014 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2013 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2012 | 2-5 | 28.6% |
| 2011 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2010 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2009 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2008 | 0-2-1 | 0.0% |
| 2007 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2006 | 3-5 | 37.5% |
| 2005 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2003 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2001 | 3-1-1 | 75.0% |
| 1999 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL off a 14+ point win for the Chicago Bears?
27-34-3 against the spread (44.3%) in 64 team-games since 1999, 30-34 straight up and 32-31-1 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 3 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
1999-2014: 16-22 (42.1%); 2015-2026: 11-12 (47.8%).