NFL Off a 14+ point win: Carolina Panthers: ATS Record Since 1999
The letdown spot. 69 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 33-36 (47.8%)
Straight up: 36-33 (52.2%)
Over/under: 36-33 (52.2% overs)
Average cover margin: -0.27 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -0.4%), so there is no edge to explain. 1999-2013: 21-22 (48.8%); 2014-2026: 12-14 (46.2%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2025 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2024 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2022 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2021 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2020 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2019 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2018 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2017 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2016 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2015 | 4-3 | 57.1% |
| 2014 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2013 | 4-2 | 66.7% |
| 2012 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2011 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2009 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2008 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2007 | 0-3 | 0.0% |
| 2006 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2005 | 4-3 | 57.1% |
| 2004 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2003 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2002 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2000 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
| 1999 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL off a 14+ point win for the Carolina Panthers?
33-36 against the spread (47.8%) in 69 team-games since 1999, 36-33 straight up and 36-33 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -0.4%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
1999-2013: 21-22 (48.8%); 2014-2026: 12-14 (46.2%).