NFL Off a 14+ point win: Baltimore Ravens: ATS Record Since 1999
The letdown spot. 130 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 62-61-7 (50.4%)
Straight up: 77-53 (59.2%)
Over/under: 56-71-3 (44.1% overs)
Average cover margin: 1.61 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -3.8%), so there is no edge to explain. 1999-2012: 34-28 (54.8%); 2013-2026: 28-33 (45.9%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2025 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2024 | 5-2 | 71.4% |
| 2023 | 4-5 | 44.4% |
| 2022 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2021 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2020 | 6-3 | 66.7% |
| 2019 | 6-3 | 66.7% |
| 2018 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2017 | 2-3-1 | 40.0% |
| 2016 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2014 | 2-3-1 | 40.0% |
| 2013 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2012 | 3-1-1 | 75.0% |
| 2011 | 2-4 | 33.3% |
| 2010 | 0-3-1 | 0.0% |
| 2009 | 2-4-1 | 33.3% |
| 2008 | 7-2 | 77.8% |
| 2007 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2006 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2005 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2004 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| 2003 | 2-3-1 | 40.0% |
| 2001 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
| 2000 | 7-1-1 | 87.5% |
| 1999 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL off a 14+ point win for the Baltimore Ravens?
62-61-7 against the spread (50.4%) in 130 team-games since 1999, 77-53 straight up and 56-71-3 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -3.8%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
1999-2012: 34-28 (54.8%); 2013-2026: 28-33 (45.9%).