NFL Off a 14+ point loss: Washington Commanders: ATS Record Since 1999
The bounce-back spot. 87 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 38-44-5 (46.3%)
Straight up: 30-56-1 (34.9%)
Over/under: 33-53-1 (38.4% overs)
Average cover margin: -1.84 points
Is it real?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 2 times, so it is consistent with luck. 1999-2012: 16-16 (50.0%); 2013-2026: 22-28 (44.0%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2025 | 1-4 | 20.0% |
| 2024 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2023 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2022 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
| 2021 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2020 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2019 | 1-4 | 20.0% |
| 2018 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2017 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2016 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2015 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2014 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
| 2013 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2012 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2011 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2010 | 2-0-1 | 100.0% |
| 2009 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2008 | 0-3 | 0.0% |
| 2007 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2006 | 2-1-1 | 66.7% |
| 2005 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2004 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2003 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2002 | 2-1-1 | 66.7% |
| 2001 | 1-3-1 | 25.0% |
| 2000 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 1999 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL off a 14+ point loss for the Washington Commanders?
38-44-5 against the spread (46.3%) in 87 team-games since 1999, 30-56-1 straight up and 33-53-1 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 2 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
1999-2012: 16-16 (50.0%); 2013-2026: 22-28 (44.0%).