NFL Off a 14+ point loss: Tampa Bay Buccaneers: ATS Record Since 1999
The bounce-back spot. 65 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 36-27-2 (57.1%)
Straight up: 33-32 (50.8%)
Over/under: 31-34 (47.7% overs)
Average cover margin: 3.08 points
Is it real?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 5 times, so it is consistent with luck. 1999-2012: 18-14 (56.3%); 2013-2025: 18-13 (58.1%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2024 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2023 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2022 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2020 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2019 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2018 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2017 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
| 2016 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2015 | 3-0 | 100.0% |
| 2014 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2013 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2012 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2011 | 2-4 | 33.3% |
| 2010 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2009 | 4-1 | 80.0% |
| 2008 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2007 | 3-0 | 100.0% |
| 2006 | 0-5-1 | 0.0% |
| 2005 | 1-0-1 | 100.0% |
| 2004 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2003 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2001 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2000 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 1999 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL off a 14+ point loss for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers?
36-27-2 against the spread (57.1%) in 65 team-games since 1999, 33-32 straight up and 31-34 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 5 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
1999-2012: 18-14 (56.3%); 2013-2025: 18-13 (58.1%).