NFL Off a 14+ point loss: San Francisco 49ers: ATS Record Since 1999
The bounce-back spot. 86 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 35-48-3 (42.2%)
Straight up: 29-57 (33.7%)
Over/under: 35-50-1 (41.2% overs)
Average cover margin: -1.38 points
Is it real?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 6 times, so it is consistent with luck. 1999-2012: 18-29 (38.3%); 2013-2025: 17-19 (47.2%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2024 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2023 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2022 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2021 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2020 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2018 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2017 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2016 | 2-5 | 28.6% |
| 2015 | 4-4 | 50.0% |
| 2014 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2013 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2012 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2010 | 4-1 | 80.0% |
| 2009 | 0-0-2 | — |
| 2008 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2007 | 2-5 | 28.6% |
| 2006 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2005 | 4-2 | 66.7% |
| 2004 | 0-4 | 0.0% |
| 2003 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2002 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2000 | 2-1-1 | 66.7% |
| 1999 | 2-7 | 22.2% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL off a 14+ point loss for the San Francisco 49ers?
35-48-3 against the spread (42.2%) in 86 team-games since 1999, 29-57 straight up and 35-50-1 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 6 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
1999-2012: 18-29 (38.3%); 2013-2025: 17-19 (47.2%).