NFL Off a 14+ point loss: New York Jets: ATS Record Since 1999
The bounce-back spot. 94 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 41-53 (43.6%)
Straight up: 33-61 (35.1%)
Over/under: 44-49-1 (47.3% overs)
Average cover margin: -1.15 points
Is it real?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 5 times, so it is consistent with luck. 1999-2012: 12-18 (40.0%); 2013-2025: 29-35 (45.3%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2-4 | 33.3% |
| 2024 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2023 | 1-5 | 16.7% |
| 2022 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2021 | 3-4 | 42.9% |
| 2020 | 4-3 | 57.1% |
| 2019 | 3-4 | 42.9% |
| 2018 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2017 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2016 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| 2015 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2014 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2013 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2012 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2011 | 0-4 | 0.0% |
| 2010 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2009 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2008 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2007 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2006 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2005 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2004 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2002 | 0-3 | 0.0% |
| 2001 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2000 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 1999 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL off a 14+ point loss for the New York Jets?
41-53 against the spread (43.6%) in 94 team-games since 1999, 33-61 straight up and 44-49-1 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 5 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
1999-2012: 12-18 (40.0%); 2013-2025: 29-35 (45.3%).