NFL Off a 14+ point loss: New Orleans Saints: ATS Record Since 1999
The bounce-back spot. 62 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 29-33 (46.8%)
Straight up: 27-35 (43.5%)
Over/under: 27-34-1 (44.3% overs)
Average cover margin: -0.4 points
Is it real?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 2 times, so it is consistent with luck. 1999-2014: 17-22 (43.6%); 2015-2026: 12-11 (52.2%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2025 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2024 | 1-4 | 20.0% |
| 2023 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2022 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2021 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2019 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2018 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2017 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2016 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2015 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2014 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
| 2013 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2012 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2008 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2007 | 0-4 | 0.0% |
| 2006 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2005 | 2-4 | 33.3% |
| 2004 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2003 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2001 | 0-3 | 0.0% |
| 2000 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 1999 | 2-5 | 28.6% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL off a 14+ point loss for the New Orleans Saints?
29-33 against the spread (46.8%) in 62 team-games since 1999, 27-35 straight up and 27-34-1 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 2 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
1999-2014: 17-22 (43.6%); 2015-2026: 12-11 (52.2%).