NFL Off a 14+ point loss: Minnesota Vikings: ATS Record Since 1999
The bounce-back spot. 55 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 31-24 (56.4%)
Straight up: 25-29-1 (46.3%)
Over/under: 29-23-3 (55.8% overs)
Average cover margin: 1.1 points
Is it real?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 4 times, so it is consistent with luck. 2000-2012: 14-13 (51.9%); 2013-2025: 17-11 (60.7%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2024 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2023 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2022 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2021 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2020 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2018 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2017 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2016 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2015 | 3-0 | 100.0% |
| 2014 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2013 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2012 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2011 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2010 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2009 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2007 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2006 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2005 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2004 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2003 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2002 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2001 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2000 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL off a 14+ point loss for the Minnesota Vikings?
31-24 against the spread (56.4%) in 55 team-games since 1999, 25-29-1 straight up and 29-23-3 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 4 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
2000-2012: 14-13 (51.9%); 2013-2025: 17-11 (60.7%).