NFL Off a 14+ point loss: Los Angeles Chargers: ATS Record Since 1999
The bounce-back spot. 50 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 23-26-1 (46.9%)
Straight up: 24-26 (48.0%)
Over/under: 29-21 (58.0% overs)
Average cover margin: -0.98 points
Is it real?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 2 times, so it is consistent with luck. 1999-2015: 14-18 (43.8%); 2017-2026: 9-8 (52.9%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
This week’s games that fit
- 2026-11-08: LAC vs HOU
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2025 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2024 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2023 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2022 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2021 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2020 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2019 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2017 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2015 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2014 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2012 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2011 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2010 | 1-0-1 | 100.0% |
| 2007 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2003 | 2-4 | 33.3% |
| 2002 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2000 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 1999 | 0-4 | 0.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL off a 14+ point loss for the Los Angeles Chargers?
23-26-1 against the spread (46.9%) in 50 team-games since 1999, 24-26 straight up and 29-21 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 2 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
1999-2015: 14-18 (43.8%); 2017-2026: 9-8 (52.9%).